Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.659691 0.774602 0.899116 1.043516 1.205799 1.381984 1.587141
2025-10-12 0.473660 0.631768 0.820127 1.058332 1.348614 1.687875 2.111133
2025-10-19 0.344767 0.518661 0.744697 1.053211 1.455825 1.955542 2.613889
2025-10-26 0.251276 0.424664 0.669343 1.027200 1.523045 2.170698 3.063227
2025-11-02 0.194401 0.365965 0.626741 1.031859 1.622389 2.426869 3.576525
2025-11-09 0.144718 0.304650 0.566704 0.998550 1.659146 2.594982 3.977412
2025-11-16 0.115145 0.268579 0.537482 1.003914 1.747165 2.834831 4.485598
2025-11-23 0.090586 0.234634 0.504609 0.996747 1.811902 3.041372 4.954240
2025-11-30 0.077649 0.219992 0.502180 1.037840 1.952952 3.366382 5.608294
2025-12-07 0.065073 0.202449 0.490869 1.060946 2.064841 3.651460 6.214974
2025-12-14 0.050379 0.175256 0.455548 1.035594 2.092166 3.804777 6.627988
2025-12-21 0.042620 0.162829 0.447816 1.059625 2.204034 4.095709 7.262526
2025-12-28 0.035569 0.150317 0.438474 1.080907 2.315359 4.396290 7.933649
2026-01-04 0.029397 0.138105 0.427654 1.098072 2.420880 4.693758 8.614920
2026-01-11 0.023268 0.123298 0.407678 1.093602 2.485687 4.926122 9.201708
2026-01-18 0.017512 0.106670 0.379355 1.067128 2.505852 5.082359 9.670039
2026-01-25 0.014026 0.096751 0.366245 1.072069 2.586070 5.345142 10.322995
2026-02-01 0.010197 0.082612 0.337865 1.037783 2.584922 5.463289 10.737291
2026-02-08 0.008111 0.075183 0.327118 1.043339 2.663792 5.726679 11.405112
2026-02-15 0.006207 0.067037 0.312014 1.035958 2.714665 5.940684 11.995050
2026-02-22 0.005420 0.065021 0.316420 1.078331 2.873274 6.359360 12.952732
2026-03-01 0.004494 0.061215 0.313842 1.102153 2.993245 6.710510 13.803068
2026-03-08 0.003211 0.053072 0.293552 1.076019 3.001807 6.851638 14.287464